# Argentina gov't confidence at 1.95, below the 2.5 seen before past re-elections

Quick Take · News · Published October 28, 2026 · By [Anthony Asuaje](https://walkeranthony.com/about/), Walker Strategies
Canonical URL: https://walkeranthony.com/news/argentina-gov-t-confidence-at-1-95-below-the-2-5-seen-before-past-re-elections/

1.95 points: Argentina's confidence index rose 0.9% in October, still below the 2.5+ levels seen before past re-elections.

Di Tella's government confidence index rose 0.9% in October to 1.95/5, down 20.7% since end-2025; at month 34 only Néstor Kirchner (2.70) scored higher.
Market read: past incumbents won near 2.5+; those who lost sat at ~2 or below, a warning for the 2027 election premium.
Watch: 12 months to the vote; the index is most predictive close to election day.

**Why it matters:** Argentina's election risk premium depends on policy continuity in 2027. At ~2.0, the index sits in the zone where past incumbents lost, a risk factor for bonds and local stocks.

Source: [Infobae](https://www.infobae.com/politica/2026/10/26/la-confianza-en-el-gobierno-subio-tras-la-caida-en-septiembre-segun-un-estudio-de-la-universidad-di-tella/)

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Educational and informational content only. I am not a licensed financial advisor and nothing here is investment advice. Do your own research before making any decision.