# Argentina on the brink of a technical recession

Quick Take · News · Published October 22, 2026 · By [Anthony Asuaje](https://walkeranthony.com/about/), Walker Strategies
Canonical URL: https://walkeranthony.com/news/argentina-on-the-brink-of-a-technical-recession/

The EMAE (Monthly Economic Activity Estimator) fell 1.7% year-on-year in August, with a year-to-date growth of only 1.2%. To avoid two consecutive quarters of decline, the economy would need to grow by 8.5% in September—a feat analysts consider virtually impossible.

A technical recession in Argentina puts downward pressure on local assets: Merval stocks, sovereign bonds, and the exchange rate may experience increased volatility until clear signs of recovery emerge.

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